Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | ORU +370 NDSU -485 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +28 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | NDSU -8.6 (-19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -9.5 (-18.5) | 146.2 (-2.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -8.2 (-19.8) | 142.8 (+1.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -8.0 (-20.0) | 143.5 (+0.5) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -8.6 (-19.4) | 144.9 (-0.9) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | NDSU 76 – 65 ORU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NDSU 79 – 77 ORU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | NDSU 94 – 88 ORU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | NDSU 110 – 96 ORU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | NDSU 73 – 60 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 14-2 |
| Home | 7-8 | 13-1 |
| Away | 1-13 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 78.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#303) | 2.4 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#339) | 0.69 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.77 (#339) | 0.81 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#336) | 0.525 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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