Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | NDSU -900 ORU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -12.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -11.7 (-0.7) | 145.1 (-4.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -12.0 (-1.0) | 147.7 (-6.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -10.5 (+0.5) | 144.7 (-3.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -11.2 (-0.2) | 146.2 (-5.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | NDSU 86 – 58 ORU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NDSU 79 – 77 ORU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | NDSU 94 – 88 ORU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | NDSU 110 – 96 ORU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | NDSU 73 – 60 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 4-12 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-8 |
| Away | 10-5 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#118) | -9.0 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#112) | -1.89 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#123) | -2.20 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#96) | 0.428 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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