Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | ORU +250 NDSU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +14 | 206 | Lost |
| Massey | NDSU -11.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (+48.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -12.0 (-2.0) | 151.8 (+54.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -10.5 (-3.5) | 156.0 (+50.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -12.6 (-1.4) | 153.7 (+52.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -11.9 (-2.1) | 153.2 (+52.8) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | NDSU 76 – 65 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NDSU 86 – 58 ORU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NDSU 79 – 77 ORU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | NDSU 94 – 88 ORU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | NDSU 73 – 60 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 10-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 0-15 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.0 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#332) | 4.3 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#333) | 0.09 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#326) | 0.14 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#333) | 0.488 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 41.2% |
| REB / G | 28.2 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 58.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 9.4% |
| DRB% | 63.7% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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