Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU -1400 ORU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +6 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -16.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -13.2 (-7.2) | 152.9 (+29.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -11.7 (-5.7) | 150.6 (+31.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -11.6 (-5.6) | 151.8 (+30.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -12.0 (-6.0) | 153.1 (+28.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | NDSU 76 – 65 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NDSU 86 – 58 ORU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NDSU 79 – 77 ORU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | NDSU 110 – 96 ORU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | NDSU 73 – 60 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 3-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-6 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 82.0 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#112) | -9.9 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#160) | -2.31 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#157) | -2.56 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#168) | 0.392 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.2% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.3% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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