Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
| Money | DUQ +210 VCU -258 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +13 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -5.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -4.4 (-8.6) | 159.0 (+14.0) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -5.0 (-8.0) | 160.0 (+13.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -3.3 (-9.7) | 158.7 (+14.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -3.5 (-9.5) | 159.6 (+13.4) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VCU 71 – 66 DUQ |
| Mar 5, 2025 | VCU 71 – 62 DUQ |
| Mar 17, 2024 | DUQ 57 – 51 VCU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DUQ 69 – 59 VCU |
| Jan 5, 2023 | DUQ 79 – 70 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#132) | 11.3 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#151) | 1.94 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#154) | 3.03 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#136) | 0.570 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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