Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -115 DUQ -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +6 | 108 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -1.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -0.1 (-5.9) | 129.8 (-21.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -0.6 (-6.6) | 130.0 (-22.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -0.3 (-6.3) | 130.8 (-22.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -0.3 (-6.3) | 129.7 (-21.7) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VCU 71 – 66 DUQ |
| Jan 3, 2026 | VCU 93 – 80 DUQ |
| Mar 5, 2025 | VCU 71 – 62 DUQ |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DUQ 69 – 59 VCU |
| Jan 5, 2023 | DUQ 79 – 70 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-14 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#75) | 6.4 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#80) | 1.52 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#80) | 1.75 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#53) | 0.587 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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