Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -225 DUQ +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +10 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -5.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -4.7 (-14.7) | 136.0 (-8.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -5.0 (-15.0) | 134.6 (-6.6) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -4.4 (-14.4) | 135.3 (-7.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -4.8 (-14.8) | 136.1 (-8.1) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VCU 71 – 66 DUQ |
| Jan 3, 2026 | VCU 93 – 80 DUQ |
| Mar 5, 2025 | VCU 71 – 62 DUQ |
| Mar 17, 2024 | DUQ 57 – 51 VCU |
| Jan 5, 2023 | DUQ 79 – 70 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-14 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#81) | 5.2 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#80) | 1.15 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#81) | 1.32 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#62) | 0.572 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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