Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ +340 VCU -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +9 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -9.8 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -6.8 (-2.2) | 134.3 (-1.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -8.1 (-0.9) | 133.0 (-0.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -7.4 (-1.6) | 134.4 (-1.4) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -8.2 (-0.8) | 134.8 (-1.8) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VCU 71 – 66 DUQ |
| Jan 3, 2026 | VCU 93 – 80 DUQ |
| Mar 17, 2024 | DUQ 57 – 51 VCU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DUQ 69 – 59 VCU |
| Jan 5, 2023 | DUQ 79 – 70 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-7 | 15-1 |
| Away | 2-8 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 63.0 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#142) | 14.3 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#188) | 1.97 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#162) | 2.71 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#193) | 0.591 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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