Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | IOWA -265 UCLA +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +13 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -9.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -8.0 (+5.0) | 135.7 (-0.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -7.9 (+5.1) | 140.3 (-5.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -8.1 (+4.9) | 142.6 (-7.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -8.6 (+4.4) | 137.5 (-2.5) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2025 | UCLA 94 – 70 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-3 | 17-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 17.8 (#18) | 12.5 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#27) | 2.50 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.08 (#26) | 3.30 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#39) | 0.571 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.3% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.78 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.9% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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