Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | ASU -130 COLO +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +6 | 184 | Lost |
| Massey | ASU -4.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -4.0 (-10.0) | 153.2 (+30.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -4.8 (-10.8) | 155.1 (+28.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -3.8 (-9.8) | 155.5 (+28.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -3.9 (-9.9) | 157.4 (+26.6) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | COLO 78 – 70 ASU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ASU 70 – 68 COLO |
| Jan 4, 2025 | ASU 81 – 61 COLO |
| Feb 9, 2024 | COLO 82 – 70 ASU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | ASU 76 – 73 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 80.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.3 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#86) | 6.8 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#45) | 1.45 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#41) | 2.12 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#52) | 0.562 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 33.5% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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