Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | ASU -260 COLO +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +20 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -7.2 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -4.5 (+15.5) | 141.7 (+0.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -6.7 (+13.3) | 139.4 (+2.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -5.9 (+14.1) | 140.0 (+2.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -6.4 (+13.6) | 140.2 (+1.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | COLO 78 – 70 ASU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLO 95 – 89 ASU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ASU 70 – 68 COLO |
| Feb 9, 2024 | COLO 82 – 70 ASU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | ASU 76 – 73 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 3-17 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#55) | 6.7 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#31) | 2.28 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.24 (#39) | 2.64 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#12) | 0.533 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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