Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -1600 ASU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -14.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -14.1 (-2.1) | 147.6 (+4.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -11.7 (+0.3) | 147.0 (+5.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -12.4 (-0.4) | 145.1 (+6.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -12.8 (-0.8) | 145.7 (+6.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | COLO 78 – 70 ASU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLO 95 – 89 ASU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ASU 70 – 68 COLO |
| Jan 4, 2025 | ASU 81 – 61 COLO |
| Jan 7, 2024 | ASU 76 – 73 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#32) | 2.3 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#53) | 0.75 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#44) | 0.83 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#37) | 0.534 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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