Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -150 ASU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | ASU -1.9 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -1.1 (-0.9) | 140.3 (-2.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -1.5 (-0.5) | 139.4 (-1.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -1.4 (-0.6) | 139.5 (-1.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -1.9 (-0.1) | 140.7 (-2.7) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | COLO 78 – 70 ASU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLO 95 – 89 ASU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | ASU 81 – 61 COLO |
| Feb 9, 2024 | COLO 82 – 70 ASU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | ASU 76 – 73 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 4-16 |
| Home | 11-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 0-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#98) | 10.3 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#110) | 1.93 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#120) | 2.41 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#185) | 0.594 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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