Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | ASU +130 COLO -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -3.8 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -1.8 (+4.8) | 143.4 (+5.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -3.2 (+6.2) | 143.5 (+5.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -2.1 (+5.1) | 143.8 (+5.2) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -2.2 (+5.2) | 144.4 (+4.6) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | COLO 78 – 70 ASU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLO 95 – 89 ASU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ASU 70 – 68 COLO |
| Jan 4, 2025 | ASU 81 – 61 COLO |
| Feb 9, 2024 | COLO 82 – 70 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#112) | 11.7 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#63) | 2.06 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#67) | 2.81 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#45) | 0.614 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 50.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 39.9% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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