You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · January 3, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -7.5 Home covered
O/U 169.5 Over
Money QUC -310 / BELL +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual QUC +22 174 Won
Massey QUC -2.6 (+19.4) — —
Massey Totals — 173.2 (+0.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 80% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUC -2.5 (+19.5) 156.4 (+17.6) 68% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUC -3.9 (+18.1) 155.5 (+18.5) 77% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -2.5 (+19.5) 158.4 (+15.6) 61% ✓
Baseline ML QUC -1.8 (+20.2) 159.6 (+14.4) 69% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 BELL 78 – 75 QUC
Feb 13, 2025 QUC 92 – 87 BELL
Feb 3, 2024 QUC 85 – 75 BELL
Feb 11, 2023 BELL 88 – 84 QUC
Jan 5, 2023 QUC 75 – 74 BELL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC BELL
Overall 21-14 13-19
Conference 13-5 7-11
Home 12-2 10-5
Away 6-10 2-13
Neutral 3-2 1-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 84.4 78.9
Avg Pts Against 83.8 83.3
Massey -5.6 (#251) -4.4 (#230)
Bradley-Terry -0.90 (#246) -1.50 (#290)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.29 (#247) -1.95 (#283)
RPI 0.454 (#260) 0.456 (#257)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC BELL
FG% 47.0% 50.4%
3PT% 33.9% 34.2%
REB / G 33.4 26.8
OREB / G 11.0 5.7
AST / TO 1.38 1.13
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.9% 57.2%
TOV% 16.2% 17.9%
ORB% 31.9% 20.5%
FT Rate 25.2% 31.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 57.0% 58.4%
Opp TOV% 13.4% 15.4%
DRB% 63.4% 64.8%
Opp FT Rate 27.7% 25.7%

Game Analysis

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