I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
Atlantic Sun Conference · Freedom Hall (KY) · January 5, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -1.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money BELL +100 / QUC +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total BELL win
Actual QUC +1 149 Lost
Massey QUC -2.0 (+1.0)
Massey Totals 138.9 (+10.1)
Bradley-Terry 29%
Weighted B-T 31%
Efficiency Plus ML QUC -3.0 (+2.0) 136.5 (+12.5) 38%
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -1.7 (+0.7) 139.2 (+9.8) 42%
Baseline ML QUC -2.0 (+1.0) 140.9 (+8.1) 40%
Baseline Plus ML QUC -2.0 (+1.0) 137.7 (+11.3) 40%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 BELL 7875 QUC
Jan 3, 2026 QUC 9876 BELL
Feb 13, 2025 QUC 9287 BELL
Feb 3, 2024 QUC 8575 BELL
Feb 11, 2023 BELL 8884 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BELL QUC
Overall 15-18 18-15
Conference 9-9 7-11
Home 8-6 8-5
Away 6-12 7-10
Neutral 1-0 3-0
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 63.5 75.6
Avg Pts Against 69.6 75.5
Massey -5.3 (#262) 1.0 (#154)
Bradley-Terry -0.97 (#269) 0.72 (#110)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.44 (#282) 0.25 (#152)
RPI 0.472 (#225) 0.534 (#115)
Shooting & Four Factors BELL QUC
FG% 43.1% 44.0%
3PT% 33.8% 34.2%
REB / G 27.1 38.6
OREB / G 5.6 12.1
AST / TO 0.97 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.9% 51.4%
TOV% 20.0% 19.9%
ORB% 19.4% 33.5%
FT Rate 21.6% 26.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.8% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 15.7%
DRB% 71.3% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 28.3% 15.4%

Game Analysis

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