In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · February 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -4.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money QUC -213 / BELL +163
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual BELL +4 172 Lost
Massey QUC -6.9 (-10.9)
Massey Totals 141.8 (+30.2)
Bradley-Terry 78%
Weighted B-T 80%
Efficiency Plus ML QUC -4.7 (-8.7) 141.2 (+30.8) 68%
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -4.9 (-8.9) 142.6 (+29.4) 70%
Baseline ML QUC -4.9 (-8.9) 143.1 (+28.9) 74%
Baseline Plus ML QUC -5.2 (-9.2) 140.9 (+31.1) 68%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 BELL 7875 QUC
Jan 3, 2026 QUC 9876 BELL
Feb 13, 2025 QUC 9287 BELL
Feb 3, 2024 QUC 8575 BELL
Jan 5, 2023 QUC 7574 BELL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC BELL
Overall 18-15 15-18
Conference 7-11 9-9
Home 8-5 8-6
Away 7-10 6-12
Neutral 3-0 1-0
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.6 63.5
Avg Pts Against 75.5 69.6
Massey -1.9 (#208) -5.2 (#260)
Bradley-Terry 0.10 (#161) -0.54 (#231)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.13 (#183) -0.75 (#237)
RPI 0.501 (#172) 0.481 (#217)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC BELL
FG% 44.3% 44.1%
3PT% 35.0% 32.5%
REB / G 37.0 28.0
OREB / G 11.1 5.8
AST / TO 1.07 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 51.5%
TOV% 18.0% 18.8%
ORB% 31.1% 19.7%
FT Rate 26.1% 19.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.6% 53.7%
Opp TOV% 15.4% 17.8%
DRB% 72.7% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 16.4% 24.3%

Game Analysis

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