Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | RICE +300 MEM -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +6 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -10.4 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -10.3 (+4.3) | 139.7 (+6.3) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -8.0 (+2.0) | 139.6 (+6.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -9.1 (+3.1) | 140.1 (+5.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -9.0 (+3.0) | 140.7 (+5.3) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2025 | MEM 84 – 72 RICE |
| Feb 2, 2025 | MEM 86 – 83 RICE |
| Feb 1, 2024 | RICE 74 – 71 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-8 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#283) | 6.3 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#239) | 0.50 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#248) | 0.83 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#269) | 0.530 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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