Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | MEM -1200 RICE +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +12 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -15.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -13.3 (-1.3) | 146.9 (+9.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -14.0 (-2.0) | 149.0 (+7.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -14.6 (-2.6) | 151.0 (+5.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -14.1 (-2.1) | 148.6 (+7.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | MEM 76 – 70 RICE |
| Feb 2, 2025 | MEM 86 – 83 RICE |
| Feb 1, 2024 | RICE 74 – 71 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-2 | 7-8 |
| Away | 11-2 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#49) | -0.6 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#14) | -0.55 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.47 (#22) | -0.47 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.650 (#5) | 0.462 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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