I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Southwestern Athletic Conference · Moore Gymnasium (FL) · January 3, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread BCU -7.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money BCU -345 / FAMU +275
Model Predictions
Spread Total BCU win
Actual BCU +4 170 Won
Massey BCU -7.8 (-3.8)
Massey Totals 149.3 (+20.7)
Bradley-Terry 78%
Weighted B-T 76%
Baseline Plus ML BCU -5.2 (-1.2) 146.7 (+23.3) 75%
Model 4 ML BCU -5.0 (-1.0) 143.9 (+26.1) 78%
Model 3 ML BCU -5.6 (-1.6) 144.4 (+25.6) 69%
Baseline ML BCU -4.8 (-0.8) 144.3 (+25.7) 65%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 6, 2026 FAMU 8177 BCU
Mar 8, 2025 BCU 7675 FAMU
Jan 4, 2025 BCU 6255 FAMU
Mar 9, 2024 BCU 6766 FAMU
Jan 6, 2024 BCU 9886 FAMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BCU FAMU
Overall 17-15 15-16
Conference 14-4 11-7
Home 10-1 8-4
Away 7-11 5-11
Neutral 0-3 1-1
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 74.5 70.0
Avg Pts Against 77.5 75.1
Massey -9.7 (#305) -13.6 (#342)
Bradley-Terry -1.20 (#265) -1.82 (#316)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.10 (#292) -2.58 (#321)
RPI 0.498 (#181) 0.452 (#268)
Shooting & Four Factors BCU FAMU
FG% 41.7% 39.7%
3PT% 34.2% 30.7%
REB / G 31.3 30.2
OREB / G 9.7 9.4
AST / TO 0.95 0.74
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.2% 45.3%
TOV% 17.9% 21.3%
ORB% 25.8% 24.8%
FT Rate 21.7% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.5% 55.1%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 19.5%
DRB% 62.7% 61.7%
Opp FT Rate 30.2% 31.7%

Game Analysis

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