Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | BCU -345 FAMU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +4 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -7.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -5.6 (-1.6) | 144.4 (+25.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -5.0 (-1.0) | 143.9 (+26.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -5.2 (-1.2) | 146.7 (+23.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -4.8 (-0.8) | 144.3 (+25.7) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | FAMU 81 – 77 BCU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | BCU 76 – 75 FAMU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BCU 62 – 55 FAMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BCU 67 – 66 FAMU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BCU 98 – 86 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-1 | 8-4 |
| Away | 7-11 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#305) | -13.6 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#265) | -1.82 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#292) | -2.58 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#181) | 0.452 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 62.7% | 61.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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