Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU +165 BCU -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +7 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | BCU -4.8 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-27.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -4.3 (-2.7) | 140.0 (-23.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -4.1 (-2.9) | 144.6 (-27.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -4.3 (-2.7) | 142.9 (-25.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -4.6 (-2.4) | 140.7 (-23.7) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | FAMU 81 – 77 BCU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BCU 87 – 83 FAMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | BCU 76 – 75 FAMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BCU 67 – 66 FAMU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BCU 98 – 86 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-3 | 8-2 |
| Away | 4-13 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#346) | -3.9 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#279) | -0.85 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#301) | -1.12 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#208) | 0.488 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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