Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | BCU -225 FAMU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +1 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -7.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -4.4 (-3.4) | 140.2 (+10.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -5.1 (-4.1) | 141.4 (+9.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -5.3 (-4.3) | 140.4 (+10.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -4.9 (-3.9) | 140.4 (+10.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | FAMU 81 – 77 BCU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BCU 87 – 83 FAMU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BCU 62 – 55 FAMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BCU 67 – 66 FAMU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BCU 98 – 86 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-2 | 9-3 |
| Away | 7-12 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#279) | -10.7 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#238) | -1.42 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#258) | -1.85 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#223) | 0.465 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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