Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU +130 BCU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +1 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | BCU -0.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -0.7 (-0.3) | 138.5 (-5.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -0.7 (-0.3) | 137.5 (-4.5) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -0.8 (-0.2) | 140.1 (-7.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -0.4 (-0.6) | 138.6 (-5.6) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | FAMU 81 – 77 BCU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BCU 87 – 83 FAMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | BCU 76 – 75 FAMU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BCU 62 – 55 FAMU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BCU 98 – 86 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 4-8 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-15 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#345) | -9.6 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#339) | -1.06 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#338) | -1.40 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#326) | 0.441 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 35.1% |
Game Analysis
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