Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | BCU -188 FAMU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +12 | 184 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -4.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (+47.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -2.2 (+9.8) | 138.4 (+45.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -4.5 (+7.5) | 141.1 (+42.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -2.3 (+9.7) | 138.1 (+45.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -1.8 (+10.2) | 139.3 (+44.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | FAMU 81 – 77 BCU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BCU 87 – 83 FAMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | BCU 76 – 75 FAMU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BCU 62 – 55 FAMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BCU 67 – 66 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-2 | 4-8 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#327) | -10.9 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#311) | -0.55 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#316) | -0.69 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#287) | 0.535 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 14.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.4% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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