Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | FAMU +120 BCU -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +4 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -2.2 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -0.9 (+4.9) | 141.7 (+16.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -1.6 (+5.6) | 143.9 (+14.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -1.1 (+5.1) | 144.5 (+13.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -1.5 (+5.5) | 144.1 (+13.9) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | BCU 87 – 83 FAMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | BCU 76 – 75 FAMU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BCU 62 – 55 FAMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BCU 67 – 66 FAMU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BCU 98 – 86 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-4 | 10-1 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 77.5 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#329) | -6.7 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#285) | -0.32 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#282) | -0.49 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#278) | 0.518 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.