Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -102 SIE -118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -3.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -1.4 (+1.6) | 141.3 (+5.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -1.8 (+1.2) | 141.7 (+5.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -1.9 (+1.1) | 138.4 (+8.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -2.0 (+1.0) | 139.4 (+7.6) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | SIE 79 – 72 IONA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | IONA 72 – 68 SIE |
| Jan 5, 2025 | IONA 74 – 73 SIE |
| Mar 9, 2024 | IONA 68 – 54 SIE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | IONA 70 – 51 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#175) | -0.4 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#138) | 0.17 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#157) | -0.07 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#150) | 0.502 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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