Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | IONA -210 SIE +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -0.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -2.2 (+1.8) | 137.3 (+2.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -0.4 (+3.6) | 137.9 (+2.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -0.4 (+3.6) | 138.6 (+1.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -0.0 (+4.0) | 138.7 (+1.3) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | SIE 79 – 72 IONA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | IONA 75 – 72 SIE |
| Jan 5, 2025 | IONA 74 – 73 SIE |
| Mar 9, 2024 | IONA 68 – 54 SIE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | IONA 70 – 51 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#280) | -4.6 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#263) | -0.52 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#273) | -0.63 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#270) | 0.480 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 15.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 40.5% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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