Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | SIE +500 IONA -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +19 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -11.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -11.5 (-7.5) | 138.4 (-17.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -11.1 (-7.9) | 137.1 (-16.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -10.8 (-8.2) | 138.5 (-17.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -9.7 (-9.3) | 139.1 (-18.1) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | SIE 79 – 72 IONA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | IONA 75 – 72 SIE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | IONA 72 – 68 SIE |
| Jan 5, 2025 | IONA 74 – 73 SIE |
| Mar 9, 2024 | IONA 68 – 54 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 10-10 |
| Home | 2-12 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.4 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -15.4 (#354) | -0.8 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#336) | -0.61 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.94 (#341) | -0.31 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#335) | 0.484 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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