Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -2000 SIE +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +14 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -17.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -13.0 (+1.0) | 136.1 (-14.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -15.0 (-1.0) | 133.1 (-11.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -13.8 (+0.2) | 135.8 (-13.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -12.5 (+1.5) | 135.9 (-13.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | SIE 79 – 72 IONA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | IONA 75 – 72 SIE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | IONA 72 – 68 SIE |
| Jan 5, 2025 | IONA 74 – 73 SIE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | IONA 70 – 51 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 3-17 |
| Home | 9-5 | 2-12 |
| Away | 5-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 60.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#207) | -16.6 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#253) | -2.69 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#250) | -3.39 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#206) | 0.404 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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