I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Iona Gaels
68 54
FINAL Conference
Siena Saints
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · Hynes Athletics Center · March 9, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread IONA -14.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money IONA -2000 / SIE +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total IONA win
Actual IONA +14 122 Won
Massey IONA -17.2 (-3.2)
Massey Totals 135.4 (-13.4)
Bradley-Terry 93%
Weighted B-T 96%
Efficiency Plus ML IONA -15.0 (-1.0) 133.1 (-11.1) 89%
Baseline Tuned ML IONA -13.8 (+0.2) 135.8 (-13.8) 87%
Baseline ML IONA -12.5 (+1.5) 135.9 (-13.9) 88%
Baseline Plus ML IONA -13.0 (+1.0) 136.1 (-14.1) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 SIE 7972 IONA
Jan 3, 2026 IONA 7572 SIE
Jan 25, 2025 IONA 7268 SIE
Jan 5, 2025 IONA 7473 SIE
Jan 27, 2024 IONA 7051 SIE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IONA SIE
Overall 16-17 4-28
Conference 10-10 3-17
Home 9-5 2-12
Away 5-8 2-13
Neutral 2-4 0-3
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L1 L8
Avg Pts For 71.3 60.4
Avg Pts Against 70.6 74.4
Massey -2.6 (#207) -16.6 (#357)
Bradley-Terry -0.72 (#253) -2.69 (#353)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.81 (#250) -3.39 (#352)
RPI 0.487 (#206) 0.404 (#341)
Shooting & Four Factors IONA SIE
FG% 43.4% 39.8%
3PT% 35.5% 28.4%
REB / G 31.6 35.8
OREB / G 10.4 12.0
AST / TO 1.41 0.67
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.1% 44.6%
TOV% 15.0% 23.7%
ORB% 28.4% 33.6%
FT Rate 19.1% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.5% 51.7%
Opp TOV% 22.6% 14.7%
DRB% 68.6% 68.7%
Opp FT Rate 28.1% 20.6%

Game Analysis

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