Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -395 IONA +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -6.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -5.7 (+1.3) | 138.3 (+12.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -5.4 (+1.6) | 140.1 (+10.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -5.8 (+1.2) | 137.6 (+13.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -5.2 (+1.8) | 137.8 (+13.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | IONA 75 – 72 SIE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | IONA 72 – 68 SIE |
| Jan 5, 2025 | IONA 74 – 73 SIE |
| Mar 9, 2024 | IONA 68 – 54 SIE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | IONA 70 – 51 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 9-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#183) | -4.3 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#190) | -0.23 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#190) | -0.35 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#163) | 0.503 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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