Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -145 IONA +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +1 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -8.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -6.1 (-7.1) | 137.9 (+9.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -4.1 (-5.1) | 138.8 (+8.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -5.8 (-6.8) | 139.7 (+7.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -5.6 (-6.6) | 139.4 (+7.6) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | SIE 79 – 72 IONA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | IONA 75 – 72 SIE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | IONA 72 – 68 SIE |
| Mar 9, 2024 | IONA 68 – 54 SIE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | IONA 70 – 51 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#243) | -8.6 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#183) | -1.53 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#199) | -1.94 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#194) | 0.427 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 16.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 41.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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