Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 172.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -2100 UNF +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +8 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -19.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -16.2 (-8.2) | 158.7 (-2.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -16.0 (-8.0) | 160.9 (-4.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -16.2 (-8.2) | 158.7 (-2.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -16.1 (-8.1) | 157.8 (-1.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIP 100 – 94 UNF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | LIP 96 – 64 UNF |
| Feb 1, 2024 | UNF 85 – 76 LIP |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UNF 114 – 111 LIP |
| Mar 2, 2022 | LIP 74 – 65 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-8 |
| Away | 6-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 89.6 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#138) | -13.2 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#136) | -3.71 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#133) | -5.07 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#102) | 0.409 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 56.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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