Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | UNF +110 LIP -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +9 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -2.2 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -1.3 (+10.3) | 154.4 (+6.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -1.4 (+10.4) | 151.6 (+9.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -1.0 (+10.0) | 151.3 (+9.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -1.4 (+10.4) | 153.6 (+7.4) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIP 100 – 94 UNF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIP 82 – 74 UNF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | LIP 96 – 64 UNF |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UNF 114 – 111 LIP |
| Mar 2, 2022 | LIP 74 – 65 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 11-5 |
| Home | 11-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-11 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#261) | 0.9 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#228) | 0.23 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#230) | 0.09 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#250) | 0.505 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.