Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | LIP -300 UNF +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +3 | 225 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -8.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (+72.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -5.8 (-8.8) | 152.7 (+72.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -5.7 (-8.7) | 152.4 (+72.6) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -5.8 (-8.8) | 150.8 (+74.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -5.5 (-8.5) | 152.7 (+72.3) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIP 100 – 94 UNF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIP 82 – 74 UNF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | LIP 96 – 64 UNF |
| Feb 1, 2024 | UNF 85 – 76 LIP |
| Mar 2, 2022 | LIP 74 – 65 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-11 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#180) | -5.6 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#175) | -0.38 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#178) | -0.47 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#170) | 0.488 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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