Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -2.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -1.9 (+7.1) | 147.4 (-8.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -2.2 (+6.8) | 149.2 (-10.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -2.3 (+6.7) | 146.8 (-7.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -2.4 (+6.6) | 148.1 (-9.1) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIP 100 – 94 UNF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIP 82 – 74 UNF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | LIP 96 – 64 UNF |
| Feb 1, 2024 | UNF 85 – 76 LIP |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UNF 114 – 111 LIP |
Game Analysis
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