Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | UNF +210 LIP -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +32 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -4.9 (-27.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -5.3 (-26.7) | 155.4 (+4.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -5.9 (-26.1) | 151.9 (+8.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -6.6 (-25.4) | 152.9 (+7.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -6.2 (-25.8) | 156.3 (+3.7) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIP 100 – 94 UNF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIP 82 – 74 UNF |
| Feb 1, 2024 | UNF 85 – 76 LIP |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UNF 114 – 111 LIP |
| Mar 2, 2022 | LIP 74 – 65 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-6 | 15-3 |
| Away | 7-10 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.7 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#206) | 6.4 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#166) | 0.89 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#186) | 1.60 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#102) | 0.543 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 12.8% |
Game Analysis
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