Betting Lines
| Spread | GMU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | GMU -298 URI +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GMU +11 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | GMU -6.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GMU -7.0 (+4.0) | 134.0 (-23.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GMU -6.8 (+4.2) | 133.8 (-22.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GMU -7.0 (+4.0) | 135.2 (-24.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GMU -6.4 (+4.6) | 136.1 (-25.1) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | URI 74 – 65 GMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | GMU 82 – 67 URI |
| Jan 4, 2025 | URI 62 – 59 GMU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | GMU 69 – 51 URI |
| Jan 27, 2024 | GMU 92 – 84 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GMU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 17-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#102) | 2.9 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#38) | 0.37 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#49) | 0.85 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#51) | 0.500 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GMU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 36.2% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.