Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | LIU -250 CCSU +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +6 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -7.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -4.8 (+1.2) | 149.6 (+12.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -4.4 (+1.6) | 146.9 (+15.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -4.9 (+1.1) | 147.6 (+14.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -5.0 (+1.0) | 148.4 (+13.6) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIU 80 – 59 CCSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CCSU 63 – 50 LIU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LIU 54 – 52 CCSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CCSU 78 – 64 LIU |
| Jan 22, 2024 | CCSU 72 – 63 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 10-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#193) | -5.2 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#207) | -0.34 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#190) | -1.14 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#166) | 0.501 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 62.0% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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