Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU +120 LIU -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +21 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | LIU -1.2 (-19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -0.3 (-20.7) | 140.7 (-1.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -0.7 (-20.3) | 139.9 (-0.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -0.9 (-20.1) | 140.4 (-1.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -0.8 (-20.2) | 139.6 (-0.6) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIU 84 – 78 CCSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CCSU 63 – 50 LIU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LIU 54 – 52 CCSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CCSU 78 – 64 LIU |
| Jan 22, 2024 | CCSU 72 – 63 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 8-8 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#269) | -2.4 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#254) | -0.07 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#280) | -0.25 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#243) | 0.507 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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