Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -14.0 Push |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | CCSU -1100 LIU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +14 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -13.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -11.6 (+2.4) | 141.8 (+0.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -10.5 (+3.5) | 141.9 (+0.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -10.8 (+3.2) | 140.5 (+1.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -10.7 (+3.3) | 141.8 (+0.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIU 80 – 59 CCSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIU 84 – 78 CCSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CCSU 63 – 50 LIU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LIU 54 – 52 CCSU |
| Jan 22, 2024 | CCSU 72 – 63 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 6-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 5-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#246) | -14.2 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#222) | -2.24 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#249) | -2.73 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#196) | 0.395 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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