Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | LIU +165 CCSU -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +13 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -3.8 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -4.3 (-8.7) | 129.2 (-16.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -3.6 (-9.4) | 127.5 (-14.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -4.7 (-8.3) | 128.4 (-15.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -3.8 (-9.2) | 127.5 (-14.5) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIU 80 – 59 CCSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIU 84 – 78 CCSU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LIU 54 – 52 CCSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CCSU 78 – 64 LIU |
| Jan 22, 2024 | CCSU 72 – 63 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 25-7 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 14-2 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 12-3 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 63.1 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#307) | -1.7 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#297) | 0.20 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#301) | -0.04 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#292) | 0.509 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.8% | 14.2% |
Game Analysis
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