Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | LIU +320 CCSU -420 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +9 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -8.1 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -7.7 (-1.3) | 142.9 (-7.9) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -7.4 (-1.6) | 141.6 (-6.6) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -6.6 (-2.4) | 141.1 (-6.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -6.6 (-2.4) | 142.7 (-7.7) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIU 80 – 59 CCSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIU 84 – 78 CCSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CCSU 63 – 50 LIU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LIU 54 – 52 CCSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CCSU 78 – 64 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 13-3 |
| Home | 5-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 1-17 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -15.2 (#352) | -3.3 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#331) | -0.87 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#334) | -1.18 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#342) | 0.456 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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