Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | SC +410 VAN -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +12 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | VAN -12.3 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -7.5 (-4.5) | 154.8 (-0.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -8.1 (-3.9) | 150.2 (+3.8) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -8.5 (-3.5) | 152.4 (+1.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -8.5 (-3.5) | 154.3 (-0.3) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2025 | VAN 66 – 63 SC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SC 75 – 60 VAN |
| Feb 14, 2023 | VAN 75 – 64 SC |
| Jan 4, 2023 | VAN 84 – 79 SC |
| Jan 27, 2022 | SC 70 – 61 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 85.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#95) | 22.7 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#144) | 5.19 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#132) | 7.38 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#214) | 0.659 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 51.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 59.9% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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