Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
Southeastern Conference · Colonial Life Arena · January 3, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread VAN -9.5 Away covered
O/U 155.5 Under
Money SC +410 / VAN -550
Model Predictions
Spread Total SC win
Actual VAN +12 154 Lost
Massey VAN -12.3 (+0.3) — —
Massey Totals — 161.7 (-7.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 1% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 0% ✓
Baseline Plus ML VAN -8.5 (-3.5) 154.3 (-0.3) 19% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ VAN -7.5 (-4.5) 154.8 (-0.8) 23% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML VAN -8.1 (-3.9) 150.2 (+3.8) 18% ✓
Baseline ML VAN -8.5 (-3.5) 152.4 (+1.6) 17% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 15, 2025 VAN 66 – 63 SC
Feb 10, 2024 SC 75 – 60 VAN
Feb 14, 2023 VAN 75 – 64 SC
Jan 4, 2023 VAN 84 – 79 SC
Jan 27, 2022 SC 70 – 61 VAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SC VAN
Overall 13-19 27-9
Conference 4-14 11-7
Home 11-8 13-3
Away 2-8 8-4
Neutral 0-3 6-2
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.9 85.7
Avg Pts Against 76.5 75.0
Massey 6.6 (#95) 22.7 (#7)
Bradley-Terry 0.32 (#144) 5.19 (#4)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.63 (#132) 7.38 (#4)
RPI 0.480 (#214) 0.659 (#13)
Shooting & Four Factors SC VAN
FG% 47.0% 51.2%
3PT% 31.2% 37.6%
REB / G 35.2 39.3
OREB / G 9.5 11.2
AST / TO 1.49 1.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.6% 59.9%
TOV% 14.9% 14.3%
ORB% 29.9% 33.3%
FT Rate 30.3% 27.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.7% 44.5%
Opp TOV% 15.0% 19.7%
DRB% 71.5% 74.3%
Opp FT Rate 21.8% 33.3%

Game Analysis

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