Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | VAN -600 SC +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +5 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -14.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.1 (+35.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -9.8 (-4.8) | 132.6 (+30.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -10.0 (-5.0) | 133.2 (+29.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -11.2 (-6.2) | 134.3 (+28.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -10.1 (-5.1) | 132.0 (+31.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | VAN 83 – 71 SC |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VAN 66 – 63 SC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SC 75 – 60 VAN |
| Feb 14, 2023 | VAN 75 – 64 SC |
| Jan 27, 2022 | SC 70 – 61 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#110) | -6.6 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#145) | -0.12 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#146) | -0.61 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#153) | 0.485 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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