And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
Southeastern Conference · Memorial Gymnasium (TN) · January 4, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread VAN -10.5 Away covered
O/U 128.5 Over
Money VAN -600 / SC +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total VAN win
Actual VAN +5 163 Won
Massey VAN -14.7 (-9.7) — —
Massey Totals — 127.1 (+35.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML VAN -10.1 (-5.1) 132.0 (+31.0) 83% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ VAN -9.8 (-4.8) 132.6 (+30.4) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML VAN -10.0 (-5.0) 133.2 (+29.8) 86% ✓
Baseline ML VAN -11.2 (-6.2) 134.3 (+28.7) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 3, 2026 VAN 83 – 71 SC
Jan 15, 2025 VAN 66 – 63 SC
Feb 10, 2024 SC 75 – 60 VAN
Feb 14, 2023 VAN 75 – 64 SC
Jan 27, 2022 SC 70 – 61 VAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings VAN SC
Overall 22-15 11-21
Conference 11-7 4-14
Home 14-6 7-8
Away 5-6 4-8
Neutral 3-3 0-5
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.9 64.3
Avg Pts Against 71.5 72.6
Massey 3.8 (#110) -6.6 (#291)
Bradley-Terry 0.27 (#145) -0.12 (#189)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.32 (#146) -0.61 (#217)
RPI 0.513 (#153) 0.485 (#202)
Shooting & Four Factors VAN SC
FG% 43.1% 40.4%
3PT% 33.3% 32.5%
REB / G 37.5 37.0
OREB / G 11.3 13.3
AST / TO 1.01 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 46.9%
TOV% 18.7% 19.2%
ORB% 31.2% 35.8%
FT Rate 18.5% 15.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.7% 52.3%
Opp TOV% 16.4% 16.4%
DRB% 73.8% 72.0%
Opp FT Rate 21.4% 14.7%

Game Analysis

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