He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Southeastern Conference · Colonial Life Arena · February 10, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SC -11.5 Home covered
O/U 129.5 Over
Money SC -800 / VAN +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total SC win
Actual SC +15 135 Won
Massey SC -15.9 (-0.9) — —
Massey Totals — 128.7 (+6.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SC -14.5 (+0.5) 134.5 (+0.5) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SC -10.2 (+4.8) 133.4 (+1.6) 85% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SC -12.8 (+2.2) 131.9 (+3.1) 87% ✓
Baseline ML SC -14.4 (+0.6) 132.6 (+2.4) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 3, 2026 VAN 83 – 71 SC
Jan 15, 2025 VAN 66 – 63 SC
Feb 14, 2023 VAN 75 – 64 SC
Jan 4, 2023 VAN 84 – 79 SC
Jan 27, 2022 SC 70 – 61 VAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SC VAN
Overall 26-8 9-23
Conference 13-5 4-14
Home 14-3 8-10
Away 8-3 1-9
Neutral 4-2 0-4
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 72.1 67.9
Avg Pts Against 67.6 75.9
Massey 9.6 (#55) -2.9 (#216)
Bradley-Terry 3.21 (#4) -0.88 (#265)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.69 (#6) -0.92 (#246)
RPI 0.612 (#20) 0.454 (#265)
Shooting & Four Factors SC VAN
FG% 44.1% 39.0%
3PT% 34.5% 28.3%
REB / G 36.3 35.3
OREB / G 11.4 10.8
AST / TO 1.48 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.5% 44.9%
TOV% 16.0% 16.0%
ORB% 33.4% 28.0%
FT Rate 22.8% 25.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.2% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 16.0%
DRB% 73.1% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 21.8% 23.0%

Game Analysis

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