Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | SC -800 VAN +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +15 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SC -15.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -10.2 (+4.8) | 133.4 (+1.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -12.8 (+2.2) | 131.9 (+3.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -14.4 (+0.6) | 132.6 (+2.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -14.5 (+0.5) | 134.5 (+0.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | VAN 83 – 71 SC |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VAN 66 – 63 SC |
| Feb 14, 2023 | VAN 75 – 64 SC |
| Jan 4, 2023 | VAN 84 – 79 SC |
| Jan 27, 2022 | SC 70 – 61 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-10 |
| Away | 8-3 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#55) | -2.9 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#4) | -0.88 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.69 (#6) | -0.92 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#20) | 0.454 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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