Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SC +170 VAN -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +11 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | VAN -6.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -6.2 (-4.8) | 140.4 (-1.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -5.7 (-5.3) | 138.2 (+0.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -4.7 (-6.3) | 141.0 (-2.0) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -5.8 (-5.2) | 140.8 (-1.8) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | VAN 83 – 71 SC |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VAN 66 – 63 SC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SC 75 – 60 VAN |
| Jan 4, 2023 | VAN 84 – 79 SC |
| Jan 27, 2022 | SC 70 – 61 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#258) | 5.0 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#199) | 1.28 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#225) | 1.39 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#230) | 0.563 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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