Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | VAN -450 SC +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +3 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -11.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -10.9 (-7.9) | 143.1 (-14.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -7.9 (-4.9) | 142.6 (-13.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -10.5 (-7.5) | 141.3 (-12.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -10.0 (-7.0) | 142.3 (-13.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | VAN 83 – 71 SC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SC 75 – 60 VAN |
| Feb 14, 2023 | VAN 75 – 64 SC |
| Jan 4, 2023 | VAN 84 – 79 SC |
| Jan 27, 2022 | SC 70 – 61 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-16 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#36) | 6.1 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#45) | 1.16 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#46) | 1.60 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#65) | 0.554 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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