Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +9 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | SC -0.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -1.8 (+7.2) | 134.3 (-3.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -1.2 (+7.8) | 132.3 (-1.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -1.6 (+7.4) | 132.1 (-1.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -1.7 (+7.3) | 132.7 (-1.7) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | VAN 83 – 71 SC |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VAN 66 – 63 SC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SC 75 – 60 VAN |
| Feb 14, 2023 | VAN 75 – 64 SC |
| Jan 4, 2023 | VAN 84 – 79 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#110) | 6.8 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#86) | 1.05 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#110) | 1.08 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#77) | 0.541 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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