Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | PAC -218 ORST +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +31 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | PAC -8.8 (+22.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -4.3 (+26.7) | 136.9 (+0.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -5.7 (+25.3) | 136.3 (+0.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -5.7 (+25.3) | 137.1 (-0.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -5.5 (+25.5) | 137.6 (-0.6) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | PAC 81 – 64 ORST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ORST 79 – 65 PAC |
| Jan 12, 2025 | ORST 91 – 55 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#130) | -2.4 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#135) | 0.02 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#141) | -0.03 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#115) | 0.484 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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