Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ORST -1400 PAC +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +14 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -17.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -15.9 (-1.9) | 141.7 (+2.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ORST -14.4 (-0.4) | 139.6 (+4.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ORST -15.0 (-1.0) | 141.4 (+2.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -15.2 (-1.2) | 142.3 (+1.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | PAC 81 – 64 ORST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | PAC 84 – 53 ORST |
| Jan 12, 2025 | ORST 91 – 55 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-3 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#72) | -6.5 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#84) | -1.43 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#79) | -1.84 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#118) | 0.433 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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